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Over surplus in our country?First -tier cities are still in short supply, there are multiple reasons for falling house prices!

来源:Hot news website   作者:hot topic   时间:2024-02-29 09:12:21


Over surplus in our country?moment informationFirst -tier cities are still in short supply, there are multiple reasons for falling house prices!

Recently, more and more discussions on Chinese houses have been excessive.Some people believe that with the acceleration of urbanization and the growth of the population, China's real estate market will have serious excess, which may lead to falling house prices and the breakdown of real estate bubbles.However, I think this view is "average". We cannot simply regard the real estate market across the country as a whole, but we should pay attention to market demand and development in different cities and regions.

First, let's review history.In the past few decades, China's urbanization process has rapidly advanced, and a large number of people have poured into cities, which has led to a sharp increase in demand for urban housing.In order to meet this demand, the government has strengthened the regulation of the real estate market, limited the rapid rise in housing prices, and also encouraged developers to build more housing.Therefore, although there are excess housing in some cities, housing is still in short supply in many cities, especially large cities and first -tier cities.

Secondly, we cannot ignore the changes in China's population structure.With the intensification of population aging and changes in family structure, people's demand for housing is also changing.Some people may choose to buy a second house to improve the living conditions, or prepare for the life after retirement.In addition, with the growth of young people, some young people also need to have their own housing.Therefore, in the long run, China's real estate market still has great demand.

Of course, we should also admit that in some cities and regions, due to excessive development and construction, there are indeed excess housing.However, this does not mean that the entire real estate market in China is surplus.In fact, there are great differences in market conditions in different cities and regions.In some cities and regions, more housing needs to be built due to population growth and economic development.

Therefore, I don't think we can simply think that China's real estate market is excessive.Of course, this does not mean that we can ignore some possible problems.On the contrary, we should strengthen the supervision and control of the real estate market to prevent malicious speculation and speculative behavior of some bad developers.At the same time, we should also encourage more young people to realize their dreams of buying a house through their own efforts.

There are many reasons for falling house prices!

First of all, the downward pressure on the economy is one of the important reasons for the decline in house prices.With the slowdown of the global economy, the economic growth rate of many countries has declined, which has led to the decline in consumer confidence and the decrease in demand for house purchase.In the case of economic downturn, many people will consider buying a house more cautiously, because they are worried that their income may be affected, or that the fluctuations in the real estate market will bring them risks.The reduction in this demand will cause house prices to fall.

Secondly, policy regulation is also one of the important factors affecting house prices.The government's regulation of the real estate market is usually to control rising house prices to avoid the formation of real estate bubbles.For example, the government may take measures to restrict the issuance of housing loans, or increase measures such as real estate tax to suppress the demand for house purchase.These policy regulation measures may lead to a decline in house prices because they limit the number of buyers or reduce the purchasing power of home buyers.

Finally, investors' departure is also one of the reasons for the decline in house prices.In the past few years, many investors have poured into the real estate market to obtain high returns.However, over time, these investors may choose to leave, because they believe that the risk of the real estate market is too high, or because they have found other more favorable investment opportunities.Investors' departure will lead to excess house supply, which makes house prices fall.

In addition to the above three factors, there are other factors that may cause house prices to fall.For example, excess supply, rising interest rates, decreased consumer confidence, etc.These factors interaction affect the trend of house prices together.

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